Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 5.785509 6.367975 6.988472 7.699537 8.492914 9.352084 10.354527
2025-11-30 4.893856 5.691037 6.594014 7.696008 9.009223 10.529697 12.431662
2025-12-07 4.135644 5.043364 6.127915 7.527021 9.295254 11.470352 14.371068
2025-12-14 3.508828 4.462372 5.656987 7.276906 9.436685 12.245763 16.222768
2025-12-21 3.073127 4.060156 5.351436 7.184973 9.754679 13.277556 18.558699
2025-12-28 2.798512 3.831372 5.238658 7.326129 10.395004 14.822207 21.841941
2026-01-04 2.560309 3.621104 5.121359 7.438600 11.001045 16.393836 25.415905
2026-01-11 2.330564 3.394426 4.950791 7.445373 11.442116 17.770221 28.906700
2026-01-18 2.113032 3.160415 4.740453 7.360244 11.720544 18.918956 32.205032
2026-01-25 1.920734 2.943585 4.530833 7.246519 11.930091 19.972631 35.504960
2026-02-01 1.753480 2.748428 4.333382 7.125855 12.105746 20.982363 38.885956
2026-02-08 1.607705 2.573222 4.149368 7.003841 12.257856 21.961963 42.368353
2026-02-15 1.487230 2.430941 4.009908 6.950420 12.540289 23.248897 46.763758
2026-02-22 1.411395 2.356915 3.979257 7.088554 13.200172 25.363438 53.319432
2026-03-01 1.313230 2.234975 3.852312 7.032605 13.474610 26.746382 58.550939
2026-03-08 1.209920 2.094698 3.678933 6.867752 13.507300 27.628894 62.809809
2026-03-15 1.134293 1.997809 3.575828 6.828118 13.792259 29.095809 68.782548
2026-03-22 1.091640 1.957941 3.575652 6.994837 14.539693 31.714335 78.244657
2026-03-29 1.047940 1.912127 3.559317 7.125464 15.224693 34.299959 88.231214
2026-04-05 0.995842 1.845672 3.496056 7.148653 15.667498 36.375102 97.306214
2026-04-12 0.938478 1.764222 3.395373 7.078891 15.882383 37.917190 105.216112
2026-04-19 0.882910 1.682024 3.286064 6.977987 16.008692 39.252625 112.838300
2026-04-26 0.831067 1.603458 3.177726 6.867789 16.097679 40.505155 120.525395